No real change in Canadian rainfall extreme weather. Environment Canada's Engineering Climate Datasets v2.3. |
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Murray said severe weather events have cost the government hundreds of millions. But Environment Canada verified no significant change in rainfall events over decades:
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2015/07/storm-intensity-not-increasing-old.html
CBC has corrected their earlier reporting on storm trends as a result of these facts:
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2015/10/bogus-statements-on-storms-in-cbcnewsca.html
Don't "Blame it on the Rain" like MiIli Vanilli because there are other factors that quantitatively explain increasing flood damages in Ontario as in my letter to the Minister:
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2015/08/letter-to-ontario-minister-of.html
Evidence-based policies require us to check facts:
“There will still be times when someone accuses us of having lost our way, of having chosen the wrong priorities, and I know that can be hard to hear. But in moments in great and important choice, when the stakes are high, and the consequences are long-lasting, we have to test our assumptions.” Premier Kathleen Wynne, AGM, June 6, 2015
Now is a good time. The insurance industry has been off base for several years on rainfall facts and is WAY out of step with Environment Canada data. Milli Vanilli's step aside:
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2015/11/milli-vanilli-blame-it-on-rain.html
The GO Train rail line has flooded for centuries and decades as reported in the flood inquiry report to Premier Davis (Keating Channel dredging is behind schedule):
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2015/07/go-train-flooding-not-new-1981-inquiry.html
Its time to start connecting to dots on climate change and have Ontario graduate from infographics and spin, and to real science and real evidence based policy:
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2015/07/connecting-dots-on-climate-change-100.html
Premier Kathleen Wynne and Ontario Ministers of the Environment and Climate Change, Natural Resources, Infrastructure, Municipal Affairs and Housing, its time to 'slow down the thinking' on extreme weather (a la Daniel Kahneman) and overcome heuristic biases:
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2015/11/thinking-fast-and-slow-about-extreme.html
The Ontario Chamber of Commerce should demand that Ontario govenment look at the big picture and misstatements on climate change impacts. If it did, it would realize that it should be investing in Design Standard Adaptation and funding municipalities to address flood risks, and not be tilting to windmills (err.. turbines) as a means of Climate Change Mitigation - detailed analysis of flood causes supports a more focused and rational approach to flood issues in Ontario:
http://www.cityfloodmap.com/2016/04/design-standard-adaptation-vs-climate.html